LIVE·
AMZN226.45+1.18%·NVDA138.90+3.07%·TSLA287.15−1.44%·AAPL229.83+0.51%·MSFT428.71+0.92%·AMD162.04−2.18%·META603.27+1.74%·GOOGL189.05+0.34%·SPY612.40+0.41%·QQQ540.10+0.62%·IWM228.07−0.18%·GLD271.20+0.21%·VIX14.82−0.94%·GME31.20+12.4%·PLTR78.42+2.18%·COIN287.65−0.62%·AVGO212.50+1.04%·NFLX904.18+0.27%·AMZN226.45+1.18%·NVDA138.90+3.07%·TSLA287.15−1.44%·AAPL229.83+0.51%·MSFT428.71+0.92%·AMD162.04−2.18%·META603.27+1.74%·GOOGL189.05+0.34%·SPY612.40+0.41%·QQQ540.10+0.62%·IWM228.07−0.18%·GLD271.20+0.21%·VIX14.82−0.94%·GME31.20+12.4%·PLTR78.42+2.18%·COIN287.65−0.62%·AVGO212.50+1.04%·NFLX904.18+0.27%·
14:23:08UTC
⟢ bet builder · v2advanced view: see the chain →

Stop showing the chain. Show the bet.

underlying live $226.45
⟢ Step 01 / Thesis

"I think AMZN will close between $215.13 and $240.04 by Jun 07."

Drag the green band on the chart up or down to change your price zone. Drag the orange line ↔ to change the date. The whole app rebuilds around it.

42%
odds in band · BS
Black-Scholes risk-neutral odds your stock lands inside the band by expiry.
loading forecast cone…
⟢ Step 02 / Pick your bet

Three ways to bet on it.

Cheap & risky
debit
unbounded ↑
best case · max profit
Risk
−$940
Cost
$940
Win odds
33%
Long 226.5 call

Pay a small ticket. Win huge if the stock rips up. Lose it all if it doesn't.

Defined-risk income
credit
+$484
best case · max profit
Risk
−$666
Cost
+$484
Win odds
55%
Iron condor 203.5/215 – 240/251.5

You collect premium up front. You win if the stock stays inside the band. Defined max loss either side.

Aggressive
debit
+$836
best case · max profit
Risk
−$514
Cost
$514
Win odds
40%
Bull call spread 226.5/240

Pay a debit. Capped reward equal to the strike spread. Capped loss equal to the debit.

⟢ Step 03 / Under the hood

The math, in a language you speak.

plain-english greeks · live
  • Δ
    Your bet rises $0 for every $1 the stock moves up.
  • Γ
    That sensitivity itself accelerates by $1.03 per dollar — biggest near the strike.
  • Θ
    Time is on your side: you earn about $7/day if nothing moves.
  • ν
    If implied vol drops −5 points, you earn about $81.
time machine · what-if simulator
scenario value
+$0
vs entry
+$0
stock price$226.45
$159spot $226.45$294
days from now0d / 35d
now35d to expiryexpiry
⟢ Step 04 / Manage

Where every other app abandons you. We don't.

open bets · 0live priced from /api/quote
you haven't placed a bet yet — pick one of the cards above